Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model

KARAGÖZ, Kadir; SARAY, M. Ozan

Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model

M. Ozan SARAY, (İnönü Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü, Malatya, Türkiye)

Kadir KARAGÖZ (Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, İşletme Bölümü, Zonguldak, Türkiye)

Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi

2 0

Yıl: 2010 Cilt: 6 Sayı: 11 Sayfa Aralığı: 33 - 45 Metin Dili: Türkçe İndeks Tarihi: 29-07-2022

Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model

Öz:

Günümüzde Türkiye dünyanın önde gelen turizm destinasyonlarından biridir ve turizm Türkiye ekonomisi içinde giderek önem kazanmaktadır. Türkiye 16,9 milyar dolarlık turizm geliri ile ilk 10 ülke içinde 9. sıradadır. Bununla birlikte, Türkiye’nin coğrafî ve tarihî zenginliğinden kaynaklanan turizm potansiyelini tam olarak kullandığı söylenemez. Bu nedenle sektörün daha plânlı ve kontrollü bir şekilde geliştirilmesi açısından Türkiye’ye yönelik turist akımı üzerinde etkili olan faktörlerin belirlenmesi önem arz etmektedir. Bu çalışmada 1992-2007 dönemi için, çekim modeli yapısı içinde bu faktörler araştırılmaya çalışılmıştır. Her ne kadar sonuçlar katsayıların işaret ve anlamlılığı açısından modelin biçimine duyarlı olsa da tüm değişkenler (yani, ekonomik büyüklük, nüfus ve uzaklık) turist akımı üzerinde anlamlı etkiye sahip görünmektedir.

Anahtar Kelime: turist sayısı turistler panel çekim modeli

Türkiye'ye yönelik turist akımının belirleyicileri: Panel çekim modelinden bulgular

Öz:

Turkey is one of the foremost destinations in the world and today, tourism sector has gained importance in the Turkish economy. With a tourism revenue of 16.9 billion USD, Turkey has placed 9th among the top 10 highest revenue earned countries. Nevertheless, it cannot be said that Turkey fully uses her tourism potential which stems from her geographical and historical wealth. Therefore, in order to develop the sector in a most planned and controlled manner, it is important to determine the factors which have impact on Turkey’s tourist inflows. In this paper, we aimed to investigate these effective factors based on a panel gravity model framework for the period of 1992-2007. Though the results are highly sensitive to the specification of the model both in terms of the significance and sign of the coefficients, all variables (i.e. the economic size, population and distance) seem to have significant effect on tourist inflows.

Anahtar Kelime: tourists panel gravity model number of tourists

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık

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APA	SARAY M, KARAGÖZ K (2010). Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model. , 33 - 45.
Chicago	SARAY M. Ozan,KARAGÖZ Kadir Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model. (2010): 33 - 45.
MLA	SARAY M. Ozan,KARAGÖZ Kadir Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model. , 2010, ss.33 - 45.
AMA	SARAY M,KARAGÖZ K Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model. . 2010; 33 - 45.
Vancouver	SARAY M,KARAGÖZ K Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model. . 2010; 33 - 45.
IEEE	SARAY M,KARAGÖZ K "Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model." , ss.33 - 45, 2010.
ISNAD	SARAY, M. Ozan - KARAGÖZ, Kadir. "Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model". (2010), 33-45.

APA	SARAY M, KARAGÖZ K (2010). Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model. Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 6(11), 33 - 45.
Chicago	SARAY M. Ozan,KARAGÖZ Kadir Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model. Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 6, no.11 (2010): 33 - 45.
MLA	SARAY M. Ozan,KARAGÖZ Kadir Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model. Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, vol.6, no.11, 2010, ss.33 - 45.
AMA	SARAY M,KARAGÖZ K Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model. Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi. 2010; 6(11): 33 - 45.
Vancouver	SARAY M,KARAGÖZ K Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model. Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi. 2010; 6(11): 33 - 45.
IEEE	SARAY M,KARAGÖZ K "Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model." Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 6, ss.33 - 45, 2010.
ISNAD	SARAY, M. Ozan - KARAGÖZ, Kadir. "Determinants of tourist inflows in Turkey: Evidence from panel Gravity Model". Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 6/11 (2010), 33-45.